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• W2158974703 abstract "The Southern Alps of New Zealand are located in an extreme maritime climate with high precipitation amounts and strong winds causing heavy winter storms with exceptional deposition. In addi- tion, frequent rain-on-snow events can cause widespread avalanching making avalanche warning a chal- lenging task. This study aims to provide decision support for avalanche forecasters by coupling a snow cover model (SNOWPACK) with a numerical weather prediction model (NWP). The open-source Ad- vanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS) is well suited for small-scale (sub-kilometer) weather dynam- ics and was used in this study. As a proof of concept ARPS simulations were performed with a horizontal resolution of 3 km as well as 1 km for a period of 10 days between July 4 and July 13, 2013 for the Craigieburn Range area. During this period about 50 cm of new snow were observed at Porters Ski Area, whereas the vast amount (~38 cm) was related to a single storm on July 6, 2013. Results show that at least a 1 km horizontal resolution was required to simulate this particular event and the resulting precipita- tion amounts. By forcing the Swiss snow cover model SNOWPACK with the ARPS forecasted data - on a 1 km grid - we were able to simulate the 24-hour new snow amounts during this period with fair accuracy while using fixed densities for new snow between 50 kg m -3 and 75 kg m -3 . Although more investigation and simulations for a longer period are required we believe that this initial study, proposing a coupling between ARPS and SNOWPACK, shows promising potential to become an operational forecasting tool for New Zealand's warnings services." @default.
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• W2158974703 date "2014-09-29" @default.
• W2158974703 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
• W2158974703 title "TOWARDS A HIGH-RESOLUTION OPERATIONAL FORECASTING TOOL FOR THE SOUTHERN ALPS - NEW ZEALAND" @default.
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