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- W2162834552 abstract "The paper tests whether productive expenditures share a long run re-lationship with debt to GDP ratio by using a multivariate time series framework. The theoretical model is based on dynamic optimization of utility and productive expenditure with respect to capital and debt. Literature on growth theory has suggested that all less productive expenditurescan have a negative effect on the growth rate of real GDP per capita until the optimal level of productive expenditure is reached. This would indeed lead to higher level of debt as growth rate will be reduced. Aggregate yearly data for India covering the period 1980-2009 have been used. TheCAPRATIO and Debt to GDP ratio are cointegrated. VAR modeling with error correction reveals that the model can be used for forecasts. The regression coecient between the two variables is negative, signifying the inverse relationship. Having proved the hypothesis of an inverse long run relationship between the two variables, a new indicator based on the Government Inter-temporal budget constraint is suggested, revolving around capital expenditure." @default.
- W2162834552 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2162834552 creator A5065043207 @default.
- W2162834552 date "2010-12-09" @default.
- W2162834552 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W2162834552 title "Revisiting Indicators of Public Debt Sustainability: Capital Expenditure, Growth and Public Debt in India" @default.
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