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• W2166991313 abstract "The El Ninos Southern Oscillations (ENSO) is a periodical phenomenon of climatic interannual variability which could be measured through either the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) or the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Index. The main purpose of this paper is to analyze these two indexes in order to capture ENSO volatility. The empirical results show that both the ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) and ARMA(3,2)-GJR(1,1) models are suitable for modelling ENSO volatility. Moreover, 1998 is a turning point for the volatility of SOI, and the ENSO volatility has became stronger since 1998 which indicates that the ENSO strength has increased." @default.
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• W2166991313 date "2009-01-01" @default.
• W2166991313 modified "2023-09-29" @default.
• W2166991313 title "How Volatile is ENSO" @default.
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• W2166991313 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1442229" @default.
• W2166991313 hasPublicationYear "2009" @default.
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