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- W2169918047 abstract "Every year, riots cause a substantial number of fatalities in less-advanced countries. This paper explores the role of agricultural output shocks in explaining riots. Our theory predicts a negative relationship between the level of rioting and the deviation of the actual output from the average one. Relying on monthly data at the cell level (0:50:5 degrees), and using a drought index to proxy for output shocks, our empirical analysis confirms such a negative relationship for Sub-Saharan Africa: A one-standard-deviation decrease in the drought index rises the likelihood of a riot in a given cell and month by 8:4 percent. The use of highly disaggregated data accounts for the fact that riots are temporally and geographically con ned events." @default.
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- W2169918047 date "2011-01-01" @default.
- W2169918047 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W2169918047 title "Income Shocks and Social Unrest: Theory and Evidence" @default.
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- W2169918047 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1952606" @default.
- W2169918047 hasPublicationYear "2011" @default.
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