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• W2171364214 abstract "The need to understand the factors that influencethe behavior of commodity prices hastaken on a special urgency in recent years, as nonoilreal commodity prices have been decliningalmost continuously since the early 1980s. Sincetheir short-lived recovery in 1984, real non-oil commodityprices have fallen by about 45 percent,translating into a sharp deterioration in the termsof trade for most commodity-dependent exporters.As Chart 1 illustrates, in 1992 the price of non-oilcommodities relative to that of manufacturesreached its lowest level in over 90 years.1 The longtermbehavior of real commodity prices would thusappear to lend some support to the well-knownPre bisch-Singer hypothesis.2 This pattern in commodityprices has important practical implicationsfor policymakers. For example, the presence of anegative trend in commodity prices implies continuouslyworsening terms of trade for manycommodity-dependent countries, and further thatefforts to stabilize the incomes of producers for anextended period of time may not be financiallysustainable." @default.
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• W2171364214 date "1994-09-01" @default.
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• W2171364214 title "The Behavior of Non-Oil Commodity Prices" @default.
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