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- W2175758000 abstract "Typically, a significant percentage of the public (although often not a majority) supports the president’s policies. We should not conclude that such responses are the result of presidential persuasion, however. Presidents find it difficult or impossible to change opinion. Nevertheless, the White House may benefit from a built-in set of supporters who are predisposed to support them — their fellow partisans. Ignoring predispositions is a fatal logical flaw in analyzing presidential leadership and obscures the actual dynamics of leadership. Because the core of presidential leadership is facilitating coalitions of the willing, it is important to understand how the White House can maintain or increase support for its initiatives by sending signals to its potential supporters. Determining the impact of signaling is difficult because of the confounding effects of other influences on public opinion, including the fact that many partisan supporters simply support the substance of the policies the president advocates. Nevertheless, it is important that we investigate signaling as rigorously as possible.Motivated reasoning encourages co-partisans to follow the president’s lead. At least in some instances, the president’s association with a policy is an especially powerful signal to those predisposed to support his initiatives. Moreover, by reinforcing his partisans’ predispositions, presidents can counter opposition party attacks and discourage his supporters from abandoning him. In addition, co-partisans appear to be resilient in returning to support after periods of bad news. It is important not to exaggerate the significance of signaling. Many of the president’s co-partisans may still oppose his initiatives, as we saw in Democrat opposition to the Affordable Care Act and Republican opposition to George W. Bush’s Social Security reform proposals. As with other tools of presidential leadership, signaling is at the margins of coalition building. In addition, reinforcement is a two-edged sword. There is a substantial percentage of the public predisposed to oppose the president. Motivated reasoning encourages such people to oppose his policies, and we have seen evidence that association with the president can lower support for his initiatives, at least among those inclined to oppose him." @default.
- W2175758000 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2175758000 creator A5044033066 @default.
- W2175758000 date "2015-01-01" @default.
- W2175758000 modified "2023-09-22" @default.
- W2175758000 title "Presidential Influence on Partisans' Opinions" @default.
- W2175758000 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2576444" @default.
- W2175758000 hasPublicationYear "2015" @default.
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