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- W2183664450 abstract "This paper tests the hypothesis that the links and dependency relationships in the Asia-Pacific region have changed over the past 20 years with the industrialisation of China, and the emergence of Japan as a source of finance and sophisticated manu- factures. Has this changed the size and direction of spillovers in the region, and has it curtailed or eliminated American economic leadership? We use time-varying spectral methods to decompose the linkages between 6 advanced Asian economies and the US. We find: (a) the links with the US have been weakening, while those within a bloc based on China have strengthened; (b) that this is not new - it has been happening since the 1980s, but has now been partly reversed with the surge in trade; (c) that there are (may be) two Pacific blocs, one based on China and one on Japan; (d) that the links with the US are rather complex, with the US still able to shape the cycles elsewhere through her control of monetary conditions, and China/Japan influencing the size of those cycles; and (e) there appears to be no real evidence that pegged exchange rates per se encourage convergence, but the reverse may be true." @default.
- W2183664450 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2183664450 date "2007-01-01" @default.
- W2183664450 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2183664450 title "Measuring Spillover and Convergence Effects in the Asia-Pacific Region: Is the US No Longer the Economy of First Resort?" @default.
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