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• W2184100980 abstract "How does the use of terror tactics by one or both sides affect the likelihood of negotiations or the chances for their success? Are terrorist wars more likely to end with the defeat of one side rather than a compromise outcome? Are conflicts that involve terrorism any more or less likely to resume than others? The use of terror seem to make peace close to impossible in some cases (the Palestinian Intifada), but in other conflicts peace is achieved despite the use of terrorist tactics (as by the ANC in South Africa). This paper takes a first cut at answering these questions. Conflicts in which terrorist tactics are used by rebels are compared to those in which rebels chose other strategies. This comparison allows for a systematic study of the effects of terrorism on important questions of war termination and post-war reconstruction. The paper defines and discusses measurement of terrorist rebel groups, enumerates several hypotheses about the effects of terrorism on the outcome of civil wars and the stability of peace in their wake, and presents preliminary findings from statistical analyses. The paper (tentatively) concludes that terrorism does make settlement harder to achieve, but that it has no large effect on the stability of peace (due to selection effects). It debunks the hypothesis that terrorism is effective for rebels – rebels who choose terrorist tactics fare no better in terms of the outcomes achieved on the battlefield or at the negotiating table than those who eschew such tactics." @default.
• W2184100980 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2184100980 creator A5020369374 @default.
• W2184100980 date "2008-01-01" @default.
• W2184100980 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W2184100980 title "TERRORISM, CIVIL WAR OUTCOMES, AND POST-WAR STABILITY: HYPOTHESES AND (VERY) PRELIMINARY FINDINGS" @default.
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• W2184100980 hasPublicationYear "2008" @default.
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