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- W2185501564 abstract "In this work, we build on a previous real options approach that utilizes managerial cash-ow estimates to value early stage project investments. Through a simplifying assumption, where we assume that the managerial cash-ow estimates are normally distributed, we derive a closedform solution to the real option problem. The model is developed through the introduction of a market sector indicator, which is assumed to be correlated to a tradeable market index and drives the project’s sales estimates. Another indicator, assumed partially correlated to the sales indicator, drives the gross margin percent estimates. In this way we can model a cash-ow process that is partially correlated to a traded market index. This provides the mechanism for valuing real options of the cash-ow in a nancially consistent manner under the risk-neutral minimum martingale measure. The method requires minimal subjective input of model parameters and is very easy to implement." @default.
- W2185501564 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2185501564 creator A5074794416 @default.
- W2185501564 date "2013-01-01" @default.
- W2185501564 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W2185501564 title "A Closed-Form Model for Valuing Real Options Using Managerial Cash-Flow Estimates - Draft Abstract for ROC2013" @default.
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