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• W2186002580 abstract "How does exposure to violent events shape civilian attitudes towards the government? In this paper we measure the short-term e↵ects of state political violence on civilian attitudes. We create an original subnational dataset of more than 10,000 violent events and more than 65,000 household survey responses. These events and interviews span 16 Sub-Saharan African countries and three waves of the Afrobarometer (46 nationally-representative surveys from 2002-2009). To measure the causal e↵ect of political violence we introduce a novel identification strategy that exploits the exogenous timing of the Afrobarometer’s survey dates to compare individuals who were interviewed just after violent events (treated) to those individuals interviewed just before violent events (control), within the same district. We find that individuals interviewed shortly following the occurrence of violent events in their district are substantially more likely to report trust in their head of state, parliament, local government ocials, and police forces ‐ an e↵ect that increases in magnitude as the timing of the violence event(s) near the interview date. These findings provide a logic for why leaders pursue strategies of violence both against opposition groups as well as against civilians, a finding with implications for the study of electoral violence and of ‘routine’ state repression. Finally we show that, while exposure to violence does raise reported levels of fear, civilian reports of higher trust for the government does not reflect fear of state repression, punishment or self-censorship but rather support for enhancing local political order." @default.
• W2186002580 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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• W2186002580 date "2013-01-01" @default.
• W2186002580 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
• W2186002580 title "How Political Violence Shapes Trust in the State" @default.
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