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• W2188290747 abstract "This paper establishes a new fact about the compositional changes in the pool of unemployed over the U.S. business cycle and evaluates a number of theories that can potentially explain it. Using longitudinal micro-data from the Current Population Survey 1979-2008, it documents that in recessions the pool of unemployed shifts towards workers with high wages in their previous job. Moreover, it shows that these changes in the composition of the unemployed are mainly due to the higher cyclicality of separations for high-wage workers, and not driven by di¤erences in the cyclicality of job-…nding rates. A search-matching model with endogenous separations and worker heterogeneity in terms of ability has di¢ culty in explaining these patterns. But an extension of the model with credit-constraint shocks does much better in accounting for the new facts. The reason is that, at the productivity threshold where separations occur, matches with high-ability workers produce more negative cash ‡ows and separations of these workers are thus more sensitive to a tightening of credit than separations of low-ability workers. I am grateful to Per Krusell, John Hassler, Torsten Persson, Alan B. Krueger, Thijs van Rens, Fabrizio Zilibotti, Almut Balleer, Phillippe Aghion, Valerie A. Ramey, Yongsung Chang, Tobias Broer, Ethan Kaplan, Mirko Abbritti, Toshihiko Mukoyama, Gueorgui Kambourov, Guillermo Ordonez, Steinar Holden, Shon Ferguson, David von Below, Erik Meyersson, Daniel Spiro, Ronny Freier and participants at the Econometric Society European Winter Meeting and the IIES macro group for very helpful comments and ideas, and to Handelsbanken’s Research Foundations and the Mannerfelt Foundation for …nancial support. yInstitute for International Economic Studies, Stockholm. E-mail: andreas.mueller@iies.su.se." @default.
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• W2188290747 date "2010-01-01" @default.
• W2188290747 modified "2023-09-22" @default.
• W2188290747 title "Separations, Sorting and Cyclical Unemployment Job Market Paper" @default.
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