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• W2189513713 abstract "This paper contains some thoughts on the process of imminent population decline under way in much of the developed world and quite possibly in other world regions as well. We are witnessing the beginnings of a vast trend change which promises to bring to a close a period of population growth that has lasted for several centuries. It can be shown that this great change is a byproduct of the demographic transition which unleashed a number of the forces that have led to where we are today. A comparison will be made between the foreseeable characteristics of future population reduction and other periods of prolonged population decline. Examples of Europe after the appearance of the Black Death and of the indigenous populations of America in the wake of the European colonization will be used. This comparison will underscore the existence of important similarities and also of major disparities among the different processes. From our vantage point early in the twenty-first century, there is still much to be learned from the historical record, even though the decades ahead for much of the world will lead us into mostly uncharted territory. The purpose of this paper is to stimulate reflection and debate on a subject that looms as perhaps the key social issue of the coming century." @default.
• W2189513713 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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• W2189513713 date "2005-01-01" @default.
• W2189513713 modified "2023-10-01" @default.
• W2189513713 title "Long-term population decline, past and future" @default.
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