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• W2226976293 abstract "Contemporaries and historians have often blamed the errors and tragedies of US policy during the Cold War on the “Cold War consensus.” Its usual periodization, according to which it came together by around 1948 and persisted until the late 1960s when it unraveled amidst the trauma of the Vietnam War, fits well with a common theory of change in ideas and discourse. That theory expects stasis until a substantial unexpected failure (in this domain, military defeat) discredits dominant ideas and unsettles dominant coalitions. But the Cold War consensus has never been systematically studied. This article does so for the first time via a large-scale content analysis of foreign affairs editorials. By this measure, the consensus did not coalesce until well into the 1950s and began to erode even before the Americanization of the Vietnam War in 1965. To make sense of this puzzle, I argue that the theoretical conventional wisdom is inadequate when it comes to the dominant public narratives that underpin and structure debate over national security. I argue that the politics of protracted military failure impede change in these dominant narratives, while victory generates political space for unorthodox ideas to penetrate. Process-tracing reveals causal dynamics consistent with my theory highlighting the domestic politics of the military and diplomatic battlefield: failure in the Korean War, which might have undermined Cold War globalism, instead facilitated the Cold War narrative’s rise to dominance (or consensus); and the triumph of the Cuban Missile Crisis made possible that dominant narrative’s breakdown before the upheaval of Vietnam. This hard and important case suggests the need to rethink the relationship between success, failure, and change in dominant narratives of national security—and perhaps in other policy domains as well." @default.
• W2226976293 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2226976293 creator A5032862349 @default.
• W2226976293 date "2013-01-01" @default.
• W2226976293 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W2226976293 title "Military Conflict and the Politics of Narrative: Explaining the Rise and Fall of the Cold War Consensus" @default.
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