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- W2231804373 abstract "Estimates of the resources of fossil fuels are compared with the predicted total demand for energy up to the year 2050. The cumulative total requirement for energy in the U.S.A. from 1960 to 2050 is predicted to be about 11 Q, where 1 Q = 1O/sup 18/ Btu. For the total world requirement, the prediction is about 34 Q. The U.S.A. has less than 5% of the land area of the world and about 30% of the world energy requirement. By considering the U.S.A. as an isolated country, a pessimistic projection of the adequacy of the energy resources is obtained. It is predicted on this basis that the 11 Q of energy will be obtained as follows: 1.8 Q from uranium used in converter reactors to generate electric energy; 1 Q from noncommercial sources of energy and from hydropower; 1.4 Q from oil and gas, including oil shale; and 6.8 Q from coal. It is also predicted that the utilization of fossil fuels in the quantities indicated will probably require an increase in price of about 50% over the present prices of these fuels. Sufficient uranium should be available during this same period with a fuel cycle cost increase ofmore » only about 25%. The contribution of breeder reactors toward enlargement of energy resources has not been included in the above predictions because breeder reactors are not now economically competitive with converter reactors, and it is not known at what date they will become competitive. There are sufficient resources of energy in the U.S.A., even without the use of breeder reactors, so that there will be no reason to become alarmed about a shortage of energy, at least during the next century. However, breeder reactors have the advantage of providing a stabilizing influence on the cost of energy at such time as they may become competitive. This stabilizing influence results from the large expansion of energy resources through the use of uranium or thorium in these reactors. This potential advantage of breeder reactors justifies a significant research and development program which has as its objective the development of breeder reactors that are economically competitive. Until that time, converter reactors will be able to provide appreciable quantitles of energy to supplement fossil fuels. (auth)« less" @default.
- W2231804373 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2231804373 date "1960-05-15" @default.
- W2231804373 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W2231804373 title "THE AVAILABILITY OF ENERGY DURING THE NEXT CENTURY" @default.
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