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- W2247167209 abstract "This workshop presentation discusses the current global economic environment in which civil aviation is operating. 1995 started with a series of crises in the global economy, but the situation has calmed somewhat in the last few months. On the other hand, it is fairly sure there will be new upsets either in the remainder of 1995 or next year. It is impossible to forecast exactly what these upsets will be, when they will occur, or where. Following a review of the economic problems throughout the world in the first half of 1995, a short-term outlook for the global economy is given. This is followed by a long-term outlook for the years 1995 to 2010. For both the short term and the long term, it is the developing countries that are predicted to show the most rapid growth. A risk analysis by region is then presented. The focus is on emerging markets, where risks are highest. Seven countries are then selected for a disaggregated country by country risk analysis. A further level of disaggregation is made to pinpoint various sources of risk (financial, economic, political) and specific investment or business concerns. In conclusion, it is pointed out that detailed risk measures can be combined with traditional analysis of market opportunity to devise strategy for the best risk-reward tradeoffs." @default.
- W2247167209 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2247167209 date "1996-02-01" @default.
- W2247167209 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2247167209 title "A CALM BETWEEN STORMS" @default.
- W2247167209 hasPublicationYear "1996" @default.
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