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• W2268059264 abstract "This paper examines China's population age structure using data from 2 national censuses (1953 and 1964) and several partial surveys. The population growth rate increased between 1949 and 1963, and afterwards declined. The mean age in 1953 was 26.5, but had fallen to 24.9 by 1964. By 1978, due to family planning efforts, it had risen to 26.7. The median age was 21.7 in 1953, 19.4 in 1964, and 21.5 in 1978. The proportion of children 14 and under for 1978 was 35.8, which is similar to the 36% world level, but higher than the 25% rate for developed countries. The population ratio for people over age 60 was 7.3% in 1953, 6.1% in 1964, and 7.5% in 1978. The population aging coefficient, comparing age groups below 15 with those above 65 has also risen. These data show that China does not presently have a population aging problem. Before 1949, China's growth rate was 2.6%, but high natality, low mortality, and high growth followed the revolution. The ratio of childbearing (CB) women has not changed much since liberation, but the present increase in newborns will increase the ratio. Family planning efforts will reduce the CB women by 2000. In China, approximately 23 million people will reach working age for each of the next 10 years; then the number will decrease, with the labor age median rising to 34.5 years by 2000. Currently, males outnumber females. Equilibrium is reached by about age 50, and females surpass males at age 58. Data project that age 71 will be the turning point by the year 2000. Chinese mortality rates have changed significantly with great reductions in child mortality (from 47.7% in 1957 to 17.3% in 1978), and the focus is now on the death rates of the aged. Rigorous migration control since 1964 maintains a balance between urban and rural populations. After 1975, somewhat greater proportions of people aged 15-39 were found in cities. Researchers conclude that 1) urban population control has reduced rural-urban population flow, and 2) many citizens, even after retirement, prefer to remain urban, a phenomenon which hinders urban population control." @default.
• W2268059264 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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• W2268059264 date "1983-01-01" @default.
• W2268059264 modified "2023-10-14" @default.
• W2268059264 title "Preliminary analysis of China's population age structure after liberation." @default.
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