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• W2281306871 abstract "Climate change projections over the Mediterranean region have been elaborated by using the outputs of ten ENSEMBLES regional climate simulations with an horizontal resolution of 25 km under the SRES A1B emission scenario. The analysis concerns some surface atmospheric variables: mean sea level pressure, temperature, precipitation and wind speed. At first, model validations have been performed by comparing model results with E-OBS and ERA-Interim data in reproducing the last decades over some Italian sub-areas and the Alpine region. In spite of the considerable spread in the models' performances to represent the reference climate, a multi-model reconstruction has been computed and some seasonal climate change projections have been elaborated. About the mean climate changes, the more significant signals expected by 2050 are a maximum warming (about 2 °C) and maximum drying (about 20%) in the southern Europe in summer. Moreover, the results indicate an increasing risk for some severe weather conditions: more days of extremely high temperature in summer over the whole area, a greater occurrence of flooding and storms over coasts during spring and autumn seasons and a more serious wet-snow event over Alpine region in winter. No significant signals of wind changes have been detected." @default.
• W2281306871 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2281306871 creator A5036926463 @default.
• W2281306871 date "2015-01-01" @default.
• W2281306871 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W2281306871 title "Climate Change Projections for Mediterranean Region with Focus over Alpine Region and Italy" @default.
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• W2281306871 hasPublicationYear "2015" @default.
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