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- W2285193908 abstract "How much natural gas, oil, and coal will humans burn in the future, thereby increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide? We have high resolution atmospheric carbon dioxide records back 800,000 years, yet there is real uncertainty over how much fossil fuel remains underground, available to be burned in the next 10 years. Annual oil and coal production records from specific individual fields and geographic regions consistently show increasing annual production in the early years, then a peak, and decreasing annual production as the field plays out. Global oil production must also eventually peak. These analyses consistently predict that global peak oil production is today, plus or minus roughly five years. David Rutledge quantifies Jean Laherrere's trenchant critique of the IPCC, estimating that burning all economically viable fossil fuel reserves will produce an ultimate atmospheric carbon dioxide maximum of 460 ppm. In contrast, all 40 IPCC emissions scenarios assume eventual cumulative carbon dioxide emissions higher than total available fossil fuel reserves." @default.
- W2285193908 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2285193908 date "2008-09-01" @default.
- W2285193908 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W2285193908 title "Will 'Peak Coal' Limit Warming?" @default.
- W2285193908 hasPublicationYear "2008" @default.
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