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- W2285376253 abstract "Ungeschehene Geschichte und Zukunftsgeschichten. Retrospektive Vision als Hilfskonstruktion f?r die Szenarios der Erwartung?. Unquestionable as history may seem, there are all the same quite different readings and dispa rate inferences despite the same series of facts. This goes to show that even professional historians can sometimes be overcome by meditations on past possibilities of bifurcations. As to alternatives to actual history, is serves well to bear in mind that few are plausible, but that belief in a predeterminative universe of necessities would certainly be misplaced. Whereas some occur rences are clear-cut enough to make us understand which components would have had to be changed in order to get a different outcome, others are of such a high degree of complexity that attempts to imagine an alternative course and divergent results remain rather illusory: the examples of Midway (the former type) and the defeat of France in 1940 (intricately overdetermined) clearly show that it pays in any case, in defiance to all complexities, to consider past potential. It is prerequisite for choosing between future options in more reason able and efficient ways than hitherto." @default.
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- W2285376253 date "2009-01-01" @default.
- W2285376253 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
- W2285376253 title "Counterfactuals and Futures Histories. Retrospective Imagining as an Auxiliary for the Scenarios of Expectance" @default.
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- W2285376253 doi "https://doi.org/10.12759/hsr.34.2009.2.74-87" @default.
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