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• W2315116354 abstract "hâoooaao GaGPredictions for changes in future sea level rise vary on spatial scales from global perspectives to a few miles of coastline and also from temporal scales of a few decades to almost a century. This wide array of forecasts is challenging enough; however, when confronted by the various ways the predictions are derived (linear extrapolations of individual tide gauges to global numerical models), attempts to navigate through to what is appropriate for risk assessment purposes can be confusing. We will present how concepts of spatial and temporal variability in sea level forecasts, data detrending and assimilation, and other aspects can be understood within the framework of vulnerability and risk. We also discuss how tide gauges can provide a baseline trend for forecasting future sea level change, and how these data can provide insights into intra-annual to decadal oscillations that often are of greater magnitude than the global trends predicted." @default.
• W2315116354 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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• W2315116354 date "2011-04-07" @default.
• W2315116354 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
• W2315116354 title "Development of Spatial Risk Profiles Resulting from Sea Level Rise: What Predictions of Future Sea Level Rise Mean for the Built Coast" @default.
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• W2315116354 doi "https://doi.org/10.1061/41170(400)94" @default.
• W2315116354 hasPublicationYear "2011" @default.
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