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- W2329125640 abstract "Temperature reconstructions of the past 1000 years, especially the one from Mann et al (1998, 1999) have been a prominent image in the climate change debate, giving rise to, among other things, that 1998 was the “warmest year of the millennium”, a prominent claim in IPCC Third Assessment Report (2001). Similar claims are made in the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (2007), which stated that it is “likely” that the last 50 years were the “warmest in the past 1300 years”. I discuss efforts to verify these claims, showing that the evidence in the IPCC studies is contradicted by updated versions of key series and is insufficient to support this claim. 1000-Year Temperature Reconstructions The 1000-year temperature reconstruction of Mann et al (1999), commonly called the “Hockey Stick”, appears no fewer than 6 times in IPCC (2001) and was featured in the backdrop of the Press Conference releasing the 2001 IPCC Report. Contrary to some later claims, this was not an incidental illustration of the 2001 Report, it could almost be said to be their logo. Figure 1. From IPCC (2001) Figure 2.21 showing the “Hockey Stick” graph of Mann et al 1999). It gave rise to public statements by governments such as the following one by the Canadian Minister of the Environment: The 20th century was the warmest in the Northern Hemisphere in the past 1000 years. The 1990s was the warmest decade on record and 1998 was the warmest year in Canada and internationally. (David Anderson, April 5, 2002)" @default.
- W2329125640 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2329125640 creator A5059646116 @default.
- W2329125640 date "2009-08-01" @default.
- W2329125640 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2329125640 title "AUDITING TEMPERATURE RECONSTRUCTIONS OF THE PAST 1000 YEARS" @default.
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- W2329125640 doi "https://doi.org/10.1142/9789814289139_0007" @default.
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