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- W2332867601 abstract "China is one of the countries which have the most earthquake disasters in the world. A total of 23 M ≥ 8 earthquakes occurred in Mainland China from 1303 to 2010. The seismic activity of M ≥ 8 earthquakes has had an obvious self-organized orderliness. The main ordered values are 252~258 a, 108~112 a, 94~98 a, 44~47 a, 24~25 a, 16~19 a, and 11~14 a. According to the information forecasting theory of Wen-Bo Weng and combining ordered analysis with complex network technology, we build an informational ordered network structure of M ≥ 8 great earthquakes in Mainland China and try to explore the practical method for M ≥ 8 great earthquake prediction with Chinese characteristics. In this paper, we have summarized the prediction research on two great earthquakes (the 2001 Kunlunshan M 8.1 and the 2008 Wenchuan M 8.0 earthquake) during the beginning of the 21st century in western Mainland China. At last, with the method of ordered network structure, we present a new prediction opinion: the future M ≥ 8 great earthquakes will happen in 2026 and 2065 pre and post in Mainland China. The results show that a M ≥ 8 great earthquake could be predicted and the network feature is the formation mechanism of great earthquakes. The ordered network method has a unique effect on moderate term and long term prediction for M ≥ 8 great earthquakes." @default.
- W2332867601 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2332867601 date "2012-05-01" @default.
- W2332867601 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2332867601 title "The Ordered Network Structure of M≥8 Great Earthquakes and their Prediction in Mainland China" @default.
- W2332867601 doi "https://doi.org/10.5560/zna.2012-0013" @default.
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