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- W2333392670 abstract "Sociophysics is an interdisciplinary field which applies themethodology of physics to questions in sociology. In particular, opinion dynamics provides agent-based models to study processes of belief revision in societies. In the models for opinion dynamics, the agents update their current opinions by averaging the belief states of other agents in the community.When the agents hold opinions on logically related issues, theupdating process may give rise to inconsistent belief states. We model the agents’ beliefs as ‘theories about the world’ and assume that each agent holds a consistent theory initially. This allows us to calculate the probability for an agent to end up in an inconsistent belief state due to updating [1]. To that end, an analytical expression is given and evaluated numerically.The simulations show that, under the assumptions of our model, an agent always has a probability of less than 2% of ending up in an inconsistent belief state. Moreover, this probability can be made arbitrarily small by increasing the number of issues the agents have to judge or by increasing the group size.[1] S. Wenmackers, D.E.P. Vanpoucke, I. Douven. “Determining the Probability of Inconsistencies in Theory Updating under Bounded Confidence.” Submitted to J. Math. Soc. (2010)." @default.
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- W2333392670 date "2011-01-01" @default.
- W2333392670 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
- W2333392670 title "Sociophysics : probability of inconsistency in opinion dynamics" @default.
- W2333392670 hasPublicationYear "2011" @default.
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