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- W2335820227 abstract "Everyone is familiar with human language like about 100 km, low speed, middle age and big size. Such words provides some information and knowledge with inherent subjective uncertainty. In order to deal with such uncertainty, Liu invent a mathematical tool, called un- certainty theory, in which a quantity is formulate as an uncertain variable with an uncertainty distribution. In fact, the uncertainty distribution relies on the subjective- intuitive opinions of people. Thus, we must resort to the subjective-intuitive methods of foresight to determine the uncertainty distribution. The Delphi method is based on structural surveys and makes use of the intuitive available information of expert talents. In this paper, the Delphi method is employed to determine the uncertainty distri- bution. For an uncertain variable, the first round survey is performed among several experts, and a group judge- ment (uncertainty distribution) is deduced by analyzing the survey results. Referring to the group judgement, the experts give their second round estimations on the survey questions. Finally, the uncertainty distribution is deter- mined if some terminal condition is satisfied." @default.
- W2335820227 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2335820227 date "2010-01-01" @default.
- W2335820227 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W2335820227 title "Determine Uncertainty Distribution via Delphi Method" @default.
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