Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2343015215> ?p ?o ?g. }
- W2343015215 endingPage "251" @default.
- W2343015215 startingPage "240" @default.
- W2343015215 abstract "Decision makers and consultants are particularly interested in “detailed” information on future climate to prepare adaptation strategies and adjust design criteria. Projections of future climate at local spatial scales and fine temporal resolutions are subject to the same uncertainties as those at the global scale but the partition among uncertainty sources (emission scenarios, climate models, and internal climate variability) remains largely unquantified. At the local scale, the uncertainty of the mean and extremes of precipitation is shown to be irreducible for mid and end-of-century projections because it is almost entirely caused by internal climate variability (stochasticity). Conversely, projected changes in mean air temperature and other meteorological variables can be largely constrained, even at local scales, if more accurate emission scenarios can be developed. The results were obtained by applying a comprehensive stochastic downscaling technique to climate model outputs for three exemplary locations. In contrast with earlier studies, the three sources of uncertainty are considered as dependent and, therefore, non-additive. The evidence of the predominant role of internal climate variability leaves little room for uncertainty reduction in precipitation projections; however, the inference is not necessarily negative, because the uncertainty of historic observations is almost as large as that for future projections with direct implications for climate change adaptation measures." @default.
- W2343015215 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2343015215 creator A5015455953 @default.
- W2343015215 creator A5022976341 @default.
- W2343015215 creator A5023988759 @default.
- W2343015215 creator A5031711869 @default.
- W2343015215 creator A5036120230 @default.
- W2343015215 creator A5054767566 @default.
- W2343015215 creator A5067905786 @default.
- W2343015215 creator A5082594520 @default.
- W2343015215 creator A5090389551 @default.
- W2343015215 date "2016-05-01" @default.
- W2343015215 modified "2023-10-03" @default.
- W2343015215 title "Uncertainty partition challenges the predictability of vital details of climate change" @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1480922037 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1527736602 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1562904705 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1590065089 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1604011225 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1681521146 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1796961055 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1821614919 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1903509069 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1968176769 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1971250671 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1971913675 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1974470230 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1983015174 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1990802984 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1990900389 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1995237031 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1995503732 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1996653992 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1996961680 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W1999824329 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2004053254 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2013909639 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2016628424 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2023465072 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2024966118 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2027564955 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2030654282 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2040638354 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2042925520 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2045792861 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2046759075 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2048032663 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2049331155 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2051781681 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2051810689 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2053693629 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2054653365 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2056966643 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2057266731 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2061705743 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2064737259 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2066378252 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2071539816 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2072297805 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2083070320 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2085893612 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2097830888 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2098585062 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2101108516 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2110260177 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2112933898 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2118241400 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2120373626 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2120412309 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2122156969 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2133386989 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2147686227 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2153314449 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2159686135 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2161493930 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2162440908 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2163715939 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2172191993 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2203938367 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W2227024234 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W4232332523 @default.
- W2343015215 cites W896530117 @default.
- W2343015215 doi "https://doi.org/10.1002/2015ef000336" @default.
- W2343015215 hasPublicationYear "2016" @default.
- W2343015215 type Work @default.
- W2343015215 sameAs 2343015215 @default.
- W2343015215 citedByCount "88" @default.
- W2343015215 countsByYear W23430152152016 @default.
- W2343015215 countsByYear W23430152152017 @default.
- W2343015215 countsByYear W23430152152018 @default.
- W2343015215 countsByYear W23430152152019 @default.
- W2343015215 countsByYear W23430152152020 @default.
- W2343015215 countsByYear W23430152152021 @default.
- W2343015215 countsByYear W23430152152022 @default.
- W2343015215 countsByYear W23430152152023 @default.
- W2343015215 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2343015215 hasAuthorship W2343015215A5015455953 @default.
- W2343015215 hasAuthorship W2343015215A5022976341 @default.