Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2346001572> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 94 of
94
with 100 items per page.
- W2346001572 abstract "In mathematical epidemiology, age-structured epidemic models have usually been formulated as the boundary-value problems of the partial differential equations. On the other hand, in engineering, the backstepping method has recently been developed and widely studied by many authors.Using the backstepping method, we obtained a boundary feedback control which plays the role of the threshold criteria for the prediction of increase or decrease of newly infected population. Under an assumption that the period of infectiousness is same for all infected individuals (that is, the recovery rate is given by the Dirac delta function multiplied by a sufficiently large positive constant), the prediction method is simplified to the comparison of the numbers of reported cases at the current and previous time steps.Our prediction method was applied to the reported cases per sentinel of influenza in Japan from 2006 to 2015 and its accuracy was 0.81 (404 correct predictions to the total 500 predictions). It was higher than that of the ARIMA models with different orders of the autoregressive part, differencing and moving-average process. In addition, a proposed method for the estimation of the number of reported cases, which is consistent with our prediction method, was better than that of the best-fitted ARIMA model ARIMA(1,1,0) in the sense of mean square error.Our prediction method based on the backstepping method can be simplified to the comparison of the numbers of reported cases of the current and previous time steps. In spite of its simplicity, it can provide a good prediction for the spread of influenza in Japan." @default.
- W2346001572 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2346001572 creator A5071955176 @default.
- W2346001572 creator A5076556057 @default.
- W2346001572 date "2016-05-10" @default.
- W2346001572 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W2346001572 title "Application of the backstepping method to the prediction of increase or decrease of infected population" @default.
- W2346001572 cites W1886211768 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W1974575979 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W1986022250 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2000953228 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2010665245 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2018519188 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2019345030 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2037844075 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2041572706 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2052849686 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2066296745 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2096145431 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2112680994 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2119967247 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2142366499 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2148301044 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2156537900 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2161728228 @default.
- W2346001572 cites W2169082384 @default.
- W2346001572 doi "https://doi.org/10.1186/s12976-016-0041-6" @default.
- W2346001572 hasPubMedCentralId "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/4862096" @default.
- W2346001572 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/27165341" @default.
- W2346001572 hasPublicationYear "2016" @default.
- W2346001572 type Work @default.
- W2346001572 sameAs 2346001572 @default.
- W2346001572 citedByCount "0" @default.
- W2346001572 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2346001572 hasAuthorship W2346001572A5071955176 @default.
- W2346001572 hasAuthorship W2346001572A5076556057 @default.
- W2346001572 hasBestOaLocation W23460015721 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C107464732 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C134306372 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C14036430 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C151406439 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C154945302 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C24338571 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C2775924081 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C28826006 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C2908647359 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C62354387 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C71924100 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C72218879 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C78458016 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C86803240 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConcept C99454951 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C105795698 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C107464732 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C134306372 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C14036430 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C151406439 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C154945302 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C24338571 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C2775924081 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C28826006 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C2908647359 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C33923547 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C41008148 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C62354387 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C71924100 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C72218879 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C78458016 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C86803240 @default.
- W2346001572 hasConceptScore W2346001572C99454951 @default.
- W2346001572 hasLocation W23460015721 @default.
- W2346001572 hasLocation W23460015722 @default.
- W2346001572 hasLocation W23460015723 @default.
- W2346001572 hasLocation W23460015724 @default.
- W2346001572 hasLocation W23460015725 @default.
- W2346001572 hasOpenAccess W2346001572 @default.
- W2346001572 hasPrimaryLocation W23460015721 @default.
- W2346001572 hasRelatedWork W2015521832 @default.
- W2346001572 hasRelatedWork W2091749162 @default.
- W2346001572 hasRelatedWork W2098806165 @default.
- W2346001572 hasRelatedWork W2333391021 @default.
- W2346001572 hasRelatedWork W2552050053 @default.
- W2346001572 hasRelatedWork W2899084033 @default.
- W2346001572 hasRelatedWork W3047914590 @default.
- W2346001572 hasRelatedWork W3200090919 @default.
- W2346001572 hasRelatedWork W4234996786 @default.
- W2346001572 hasRelatedWork W4246220481 @default.
- W2346001572 isParatext "false" @default.
- W2346001572 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W2346001572 magId "2346001572" @default.
- W2346001572 workType "article" @default.