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- W2360218206 abstract "Based on radiosonde data in the annually first raining seasons from 2004 to 2006,some indices and parameters,including Integral Q,K-index,Microburst-Day Potential Index(MDPI),SWISS00 index,and variables often analyzed for forecasting severe thunderstorms,were selected as predictors.Through analyzing the spatial distributions and the binary logistic regressions of the indices,estimated parameters of the predictors and a convective weather diagnostic prediction equation were established to make 12-h severe weather forecasts for the Pearl River Delta in Guangdong Province.The equation was tested and verified with historical data between March and June from 2003 to 2006.The results indicated that the accuracy of severe convective weather forecast was 77.5% if the equation’s output was greater than 0.9,whereas the probability of severe weather development was only 3.8% when the output was less than 0.5.This method can be used as a very short-range forecasting tool for severe convective weather." @default.
- W2360218206 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2360218206 date "2012-01-01" @default.
- W2360218206 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W2360218206 title "STUDY ON A FORECASTING METHOD FOR SEVERE CONVECTIVE WEATHER POTENTIAL IN THE ANNUALLY FIRST RAINING SEASON OF THE PEARL RIVER DELTA" @default.
- W2360218206 hasPublicationYear "2012" @default.
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