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- W2361217021 abstract "In the spring of 2011,a development course of ENSO cold phase withdouble troughpattern is successfully predicted in the central and eastern Pacific with cosine function superposition based on Morlet wavelet analysis.The relative coefficient of fitting sequence with this method and original sequence of Nino3.4 index from the Jan.1980 to Feb.2011 is 0.68.In the prediction tests of seven ENSO events from 2000 to 2011,the average forecasting relative coefficients(R) are 0.79,0.81,0.83 and 0.64 respectively,and the average forecasting skill scores(SS) are 0.87,0.80,0.80 and 0.27 for 3,6,9 and 12 months ahead of ENSO event.The forecasting method is simple to use,easy to run,stabilize to forecast,especially it shows good performance to forecast ENSO event ahead 6—9 months." @default.
- W2361217021 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2361217021 creator A5071409265 @default.
- W2361217021 date "2012-01-01" @default.
- W2361217021 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W2361217021 title "A successful prediction for ENSO cold event with a “double trough” pattern" @default.
- W2361217021 hasPublicationYear "2012" @default.
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