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- W2361348958 abstract "This paper uses a spatial statistics method based on the calculation of spatial autocorrelation as a possible approach for modeling and quantifying the distribution of regional economy in the Tarim River Basin.GIS and spatial statistics provide a useful way for describing the distribution of regional economy both spatially and temporally.In this paper,patterns of regional economy spatial relations and its evolution are analyzed in the Tarim River basin from 1980 to 2004.Here are some conclusions:(1) Global Spatial Autocorrelation Coefficient increased nearly 1.7 times in Tarim River basin in recent 25 years.Spatial positive autocorrelation of regional economy is obvious,which shows a waving and rising feature.Economic growth showed spatial positive autocorrelation at 5% significant level,which meant that areas having similar levels of economic development clustered easily.(2) Correlations of part areas are significant,but majorities are not.Areas of spatial negative autocorrelation are disappearing gradually,and areas of positive autocorrelation become intensifying more and more.Especially,agglomeration and diffusion characteristics of regional economy along the axis of the railway and highway in south Xinjiang were obvious from 1995,which speeds up the transfer of dominant resources from undeveloped regions to developed regions.Under the multiplier effect and circulation and accumulation effect,the gap of economy between two areas of low-low pattern and high-high pattern becomes larger and larger.As a result,areas of low-low pattern and high-high pattern become two-polar that locates in the southwest and northeast of the Tarim River basin.(3) Changes of four kinds of patterns' areas show different regularities in such three phases like start-up phase,shock phase and stable phase.(4) Neighbor effect of regional economic growth is strengthened continuously,and in 2004,area of high-high pattern was 1.66 times that of 1980,which was caused by increased area of low-low pattern.(5) At the preliminary stage of industrilization,mineral resources and traffic condition are driving forces that promote agglomeration and evolution of regional economy.At the end of the paper,according to the evolution process of economic agglomerate type and spatial correlation,some problems,such as the process of economic agglomeration and diffusion,the choice of development policy,the mode of spatial development and regional coordinated development were discussed,and measures were raised accordingly." @default.
- W2361348958 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2361348958 date "2009-01-01" @default.
- W2361348958 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W2361348958 title "Spatial autocorrelation of regional economy and dynamic evolution in Tarim River Basin during the last 25 years" @default.
- W2361348958 hasPublicationYear "2009" @default.
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