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- W2362022333 abstract "Particular landforms in Tacheng Prefecture provide the conditions of transporting vapor from the west,thus,many middle and small rivers rise from the mountainous regions.Spring floods caused by seasonal snow cover melt occur frequently in the mid-low mountain areas.The asymmetric spatiotemporal distribution of water resources is disadvantageous for the industrial and agricultural production in Tacheng Prefecture.Therefore,to predict the runoff volume can provide the scientific theoretical basis for redistribution water resources.In this paper,a case study on the long-term(1966-2000) change of annual runoff volume of Ulastai River in Tacheng Prefecture is carried out,a decomposition prediction model of temporal series of annual runoff volume of the river is developed,that is the annual runoff volume series is decomposed as trend component,periodical component and random component,all the components are superposed in a linear way after they are identified and derived,and the model of predicting annual runoff volume is developed.The identification of the model reveals that the increase trend of annual runoff volume of the Ulastai River is not so significant,but the periodical change of annual runoff volume of the river is significant.The test result reveals that the model has a high adaptability and can be used to accurately predict the annual runoff volume of the Ulastai River." @default.
- W2362022333 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2362022333 creator A5002956741 @default.
- W2362022333 date "2006-01-01" @default.
- W2362022333 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W2362022333 title "Analysis and Prediction on the Causes of Runoff Formation of the Middle and Small Rivers in Tacheng Prefecture,Xinjiang" @default.
- W2362022333 hasPublicationYear "2006" @default.
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