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- W2369997122 abstract "Objective To explore the reported incidence data of typhoid fever and paratyphoid fever in China from 2006 to 2010 by fitting a seasonal trend model,and to predict the incidence of the diseases in 2011 with the established model. Methods SPSS 15.0 and Excel XP were applied to fit the seasonal trend model on the incidence of typhoid fever and paratyphoid fever. Results The reported cases of typhoid fever and paratyphoid fever declined annually during the period of 2006～2010,and the difference was statistically significant(F=11.688,P=0.001).With the established seasonal trend model,the predictive cases of the diseases in 2011 would be 12,543,which are 2,169 less than those of 2010. Conclusions The long-term epidemic trend and seasonal epidemic character are all taken into account in the seasonal trend model.The fitted result of the established model is acceptable on the incidence of typhoid fever and paratyphoid fever,and the model can be applied to predict future short-term incidence." @default.
- W2369997122 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2369997122 creator A5028010547 @default.
- W2369997122 date "2011-01-01" @default.
- W2369997122 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
- W2369997122 title "Study on Incidence of Typhoid Fever and Paratyphoid Fever with Seasonal Trend Model" @default.
- W2369997122 hasPublicationYear "2011" @default.
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