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- W2371799557 abstract "Building some epidemiology models based on the reported data abuout SARS' confirmed cases, suspected cases and the number of deaths etc. is what this essay mainly focused in. We discussed the simple differential equations in epidemiology, built the time series' ARMA model to predict the number of patients in Beijing's hospital, and get the prediction that there will be no more than 60 patients in Beijing's hospital until the end of June which will satisfies WHO. At the same time we got some preliminary estimation of the fatality rate through empirical model and the Bayes method." @default.
- W2371799557 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2371799557 date "2003-01-01" @default.
- W2371799557 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W2371799557 title "Models and Prediction of the SARS' Prevalence" @default.
- W2371799557 hasPublicationYear "2003" @default.
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