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- W2372802398 abstract "By contrasting the TS score of AREM from June to August in 2007 for every forecasting period and every forecasting area,contrasting the TS score among three models of AREM,T213 and JAPAN,and analyzing the prediction effect of AREM for important rainfall processes in the flood season of 2007,the prediction effect and characteristic of AREM in flood reason in 2007 was obtained.The results show that:(1)by contrasting the TS score of AREM in different forecasting periods,AREM predicts best in middle and lower reach of Yangtse River in 12～36 hours forecasting period and for other areas the predicting effect of AREM weakens as the predicting time becoming longer.(2)by contrasting the TS score of AREM in different areas,AREM shows good prediction effect in all intension of rainfall in middle and lower reach of Yangtse River and in the station and range of rainbelt in Southwest China.(3)and by contrasting the 12～36 hours prediction effect of different models of AREM,T213 and JAPAN in middle and lower reach of Yangtse River,the three models show roughly the same prediction effect in the station and range of rainbelt.AREM shows the best prediction effect in the forecast of strong rainfall center of the three models,and the superiority rises as the intension increase.(4)AREM shows good prediction ability for large range and strong intension rainfall processes in middle and lower reach of Yangtse River especially in Yangtse River-Huaihe River valley,and AREM has obviously better predicting superiority in the prediction for heavy rainfall center than T213 and JAPAN,but AREM has relatively worse predicting effect for regionally small range rainfall process." @default.
- W2372802398 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2372802398 date "2007-01-01" @default.
- W2372802398 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W2372802398 title "Evaluation and Analysis of the Rainfall Prediction of AREM in Flood Season of 2007" @default.
- W2372802398 hasPublicationYear "2007" @default.
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