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- W2377403376 abstract "Understanding fluctuations in coal demand is essential to forecast coal demand trends and secure emergency supplies of coal. In this paper,we use wavelet analysis methods to measure the volatility of Chinese coal demand,and analyze influencing factors for different waves. We found the main fluctuation cycle of coal demand to be 6 years,5.9 years,4.8 years depending on the method used. Overall,the main cycle of coal demand fluctuation is 5~6 years with an economic fluctuation lag of 1~2 years,and mutations exist after a lapse of 30 years. Monthly data showed a seasonal coal demand cycle of 3~6 months,a peak in summer(June)and winter(December)and valley in spring(February)and autumn. The gap between the large peak and valley is gradually increasing,while the gap between the large and small peak is gradually narrowing. The cyclical fluctuations of coal demand follow a long wave of 30~40 years,medium wave of 5~6 years,and short wave of 3~6 months. Uncertainty fluctuations in coal demand are caused by natural factors, political events,military cases and other emergencies." @default.
- W2377403376 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2377403376 creator A5056837998 @default.
- W2377403376 date "2013-01-01" @default.
- W2377403376 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W2377403376 title "Patterns of Coal Demand Fluctuation in China" @default.
- W2377403376 hasPublicationYear "2013" @default.
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