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- W2381660883 abstract "Based on R/S analysis,this paper studies dry years' numerical analysis and calculation from 1951 to 2007 through the data provided by Kunming weather stations.The results show that its Hurst index is 0.988,which indicates that it will be a sustained process about dry years in Kunming City.Then this paper forecasts the occurrence time and its rainfall of the next dry year in Kunming,and learns the error margin of occurrence time about the next dry year through strict inspection.If we can continue to define the boundary conditions of R/S analysis,the forecast will be more accurate than before.The quantitative analysis of forecast used in this paper is an innovation which differentiates itself from the present research.It will be of great significance to disaster prevention and mitigation in our country." @default.
- W2381660883 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2381660883 date "2011-01-01" @default.
- W2381660883 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2381660883 title "The Forecasting of Rainfall and Dry Years of Kunming City Based on R/S Analysis" @default.
- W2381660883 hasPublicationYear "2011" @default.
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