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- W2383305296 abstract "First of all,this paper constructs the input-output dynamic model of industrial structural adjustment on the premise of consumption and exports structure rigidity.Then we use the regression model and linear programming technique to predict the structure of consumer products in 2020.Combined with the prediction of the structure of export products,we give the growth rate of economic equilibrium under different final demand structure and calculate the carbon emissions in 2020 under different economic growth rate according to the balanced industry structure.The results show that although the new round upgrade of urban and rural residents consumption structure has intensified the trend of China's heavy industrialization,it is not conducive to low-carbon industrial structure adjustment,but the increase of consumption rate will make the evolution of industrial structure in the direction of low carbon.If the energy structure and technology remain unchanged as 2005,relying only on industrial structural adjustment,it can reduce energy consumption of 1.76488 billion tons—2.53144 billion tce and carbon dioxide emissions by 3.93137 billion tons—5.63893 billion tons.And it can make the energy consumption and carbon emission of production per GDP decreased by 25.5600%—31.0102%.The contribution of industrial structural adjustment to the targets of China's carbon intensity will run up to 60%." @default.
- W2383305296 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2383305296 date "2014-01-01" @default.
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- W2383305296 title "Adjustment of Industrial Structure and the Potential Assessment of Energy Saving and Carbon Reduction" @default.
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