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- W2386711706 abstract "This paper characterizes the arrival of technology innovations as a Poisson jump process.Under multiple future innovations and decreasing investment cost,firms' optimal investment strategies and diffusion of new technologies are studied by the cumulative probability distribution function of technologies adoption.When analyzing two future technologies' circumstances and contrasting to the optimal investment strategies derived under the NPV rule,because the NPV approach ignores the real option value of firms' postponing investment,it is shown that the firms will just acquire sub-optimal decisions by the NPV approach.Numerical examples illustrate how firms' technology adoption behavior is affected by changes in the values of the speed of technology progress,the discount rate,the investment and the extent of investment decrease.Furthermore,this paper gives the calculating method of the latest time of firms' investment under infinite future technologies' circumstances.The model can be used to predict actual firms policies and provide powerful academic support for empirical analyzing of the firms' adoption behavior and the diffusion of new technologies." @default.
- W2386711706 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2386711706 date "2005-01-01" @default.
- W2386711706 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W2386711706 title "A Study on Firms' Optimal Investment Strategies and Diffusion of New Technology under Multiple Generations of Future Innovations:A Real Option Approach" @default.
- W2386711706 hasPublicationYear "2005" @default.
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