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- W2392156674 abstract "Using the cases of the geological disaster since 1950 in Zhejiang province,the article statistically classifies the character of slopes,the minitype physiognomy,the original height of slopes,and the original gradient and configuration of slopes.It also calculates the number and size of disasters and identifies the area where geological disasters easily happen in the province by way of normalization with the data of unstable slopes in 2008,and partitions the times of disaster into periods of Meiyu and typhoons.For the two periods,the article computes recent rainfall nearest to geological disasters for the current and preceding days as well as rainfall for consecutive days based on the records from conventional and mesoscale meteorological observation stations.Using the fitting method,this paper determines the effective rainfall by calculating the contribution of daily rainfall to disasters,obtains critical prewarning values of rainfall for each of the meteorological stations by taking reference to their regional climate.In this way,levels of disaster prewarning and setup of forecast models can be accomplished.Then,a forecasting test for the Meiyu and typhoon periods in 2010 is conducted.Their TS results are 89.5% and 75.7%,respectively,suggesting good forecasts." @default.
- W2392156674 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2392156674 date "2012-01-01" @default.
- W2392156674 modified "2023-09-22" @default.
- W2392156674 title "ON METEOROLOGICAL FORECASTING MODELS FOR GEOLOGICAL DISASTERS IN ZHEJIANG PROVINCE" @default.
- W2392156674 hasPublicationYear "2012" @default.
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