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- W243558049 abstract "The population growth is producing an increase in water resources demand, which often cannot be met by the offer. This problem becomes more critical when the responsible organisations do not settle new management options (Sumpsi et al, 2001). Considering that agriculture is the activity that consumes the highest part of the resource, water management in the agricultural sector becomes crucial when looking for the sustainability of the resource. In Spain, where 80% of available water resources are used for irrigation, water scarcity has been aggravated by European policies that have encouraged further development of irrigation (Varela et al, 1998) As a response to the increase in water demand, nearly all arid and semiarid countries have developed along the last decades an intensive use of ground water (Llamas, 2005). Lowering costs of drilling and water abstraction have allowed the development of irrigation for many small farmers. Contrasting with big hydraulic infrastructures developed for surface water, the initiative in ground water has been taken traditionally by the farmers themselves, with low public involvement. This has lead in some cases to the over exploitation of the resource, aggravated by the lack of coordination between water administration and water users (Fornes, de la Hera and Llamas, 2005). Face to all these problems, the development of integrated policies has been encouraged in the last years, aiming at a sustainable management of water resources that considers all implications that such management can have over the social, economic, environmental, etc. aspects. In this context, the Water Framework Directive (WFD) has been developed, which provides some compulsory guidelines for the Member Countries, with the aim of achieving a sustainable management of water resources. The WFD represents a change in management systems, which are understood now as management of the demand, as well as the obligation of reaching the cost effectiveness of the measures (Varela-Ortega, 2007). The WFD adopts the philosophy of the “Integrated Water Resources Management” (IWRM). There are many definitions of IWRM, but all of them include two aspects (Bromley et al, 2005): (I) Management decisions must take into account the implications that these decisions will have in the whole system, and not only in the resource itself. In order to take decisions that satisfy all of those concerned with water, the decision maker should take into account all those implications and consider different criteria. (II) It must include the participation of stakeholders in the decision making. This is considered an essential requirement so that management decisions will be accepted by all involved in water use. Furthermore, these can contribute with additional information that managers do not have. As well, they will provide their own views, contributing to increase the diversity of criteria. This research is developed under the activities held by the UPM team in NeWater project (“New Approaches to Adaptive Water Management under Uncertainty”. One of the activities proposed in the project is the use of Bayesian networks as an instrument for decision making support. This tool has been chosen due to its usefulness in the resolution of conflictive situations related to catchments’ management, because it is able to link different aspects concerning water management at farm level and making the up-scaling afterwards at basin level, where a balance is aimed between farm income and environmental welfare." @default.
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- W243558049 date "2007-01-01" @default.
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- W243558049 title "INTEGRATION OF BAYESIAN NETWORKS AND AGRO-ECONOMIC MODELS AS A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR WATER MANAGEMENT IN THE UPPER GUADIANA BASIN" @default.
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