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• W244968632 abstract "Objective. This study develops a technique to estimate and project annual rates of poverty for various population segments within a metropolitan area. Methods. annual estimates and projections are based upon official rates of poverty compiled by the Census Bureau. setting for the study is the Los Angeles/Long Beach SMSA/PMSA and covers the years 1959 through 2000. Using Census benchmark years, linear regression models are developed for All Residents, Whites, Blacks, Hispanics, Female Family Heads, the Elderly and Children. Results. evidence reveals an increasing trend in the incidence of poverty for the overall metropolitan population. This increase is caused by dramatic rises within the Hispanic and the Children population subgroups. Poverty trends are negative, however, for the Elderly, Blacks, Female Family Heads and Whites. Conclusion. evidence for the Los Angeles/Lng Beach metropolitan area mirrors the overall findings for the state of California. Key Words: Poverty, Los Angeles, Long Beach, Hispanics, whites, blacks, children Article I, Section II of the U.S. Constitution specifies that an enumeration of the population shall be made every 10 years. Consequently, the Bureau of the Census conducts decennial counts of the population and, at the same time, compiles data on family and individual incomes (for the year immediately preceding each census year). Since 1960, the Bureau also estimates poverty at 10-year intervals for the nation, regions, states, counties, urban and rural areas, and tracts. census surveys of poverty have been obtained from samples ranging from 15% to 25% of housing units. Since 1960, the Bureau has also obtained annual survey data on income and poverty (for 1959 on) and has published it in March issues of the Current Population Reports. This data has been collected, however, only for the nation and for states. These annual Current Population Surveys are based upon national samples over the years of between 33,500 and 65,500 noninstitutional civilian households. But, except for the decennial censuses, no data on poverty have been compiled regularly for substate levels. purpose of this study is to establish a methodology to provide annual estimates of poverty for an urban area over time. methodology is patterned after a technique that was used successfully in obtaining series estimates for the state of California (Mogull, 1991, 1993, 1998). According to one prominent observer, The real importance of a ... poverty measure is not the number who are poor in any one year but the indicator's ability to show whether the number is decreasing or increasing over time (Primus,1995:27). assumption made by the planned methodology is that smoothed linkages between the benchmark years (which have been established by the decennial censuses) will yield a valid and reliable charting of long-term trends. Methodology and Data As an example, annual poverty estimates and projections will be created for the Los Angeles/Long Beach Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area (SMSA) since 1959 and Primary Metropolitan Statistical Area (PMSA) since 1983. This urban area is currently the second largest in the nation and the largest west of the Mississippi River, with a Consolidated Metropolitan Statistical Area population in 1996 of nearly 15 million. Annual rates of poverty will be estimated and projected separately for seven (nonmutually exclusive) segments of the population - All Residents, Whites, Blacks, Hispanics, Female Family Heads (without a resident spouse), the Elderly (age 65 and over), and Children (related by blood or adoption to the householders and under the age of 18). So far, official estimates of poverty have been established by the Census Bureau for the years 1959, 1969, 1979 and 1989 (Bureau of the Census, 1972, 1973abc, 1975, 1985, 1993). These estimates are to be used here as benchmarks or points of reference. …" @default.
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• W244968632 date "2000-04-01" @default.
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• W244968632 title "Poverty Trends in a Metropolis" @default.
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