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• W2465202047 abstract "Bayesian inference of species divergence times is an unusual statistical problem, because the divergence time parameters are not identifiable unless both fossil calibrations and sequence data are available. Commonly used marginal priors on divergence times derived from fossil calibrations may conflict with node order on the phylogenetic tree causing a change in the prior on divergence times for a particular topology. Care should be taken to avoid confusing this effect with changes due to informative sequence data. This effect is illustrated with examples. A topology-consistent prior that preserves the marginal priors is defined and examples are constructed. Conflicts between fossil calibrations and relative branch lengths (based on sequence data) can cause estimates of divergence times that are grossly incorrect, yet have a narrow posterior distribution. An example of this effect is given; it is recommended that overly narrow posterior distributions of divergence times should be carefully scrutinized. This article is part of the themed issue ‘Dating species divergences using rocks and clocks’." @default.
• W2465202047 created "2016-07-22" @default.
• W2465202047 creator A5078293553 @default.
• W2465202047 date "2016-07-19" @default.
• W2465202047 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
• W2465202047 title "Conceptual issues in Bayesian divergence time estimation" @default.
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• W2465202047 doi "https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2015.0134" @default.
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