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• W2474391327 abstract "Theory suggests that, relative to the preceding first order election result, turnout is lower in second-order elections, government parties loose, and small parties and ideologically extreme parties win. These regularities are not static but dynamic – government parties’ losses are greater the closer a second-order election is located around first-order midterm. These ‘aggregate’ predictions of second-order elections theory have mostly been tested using aggregate data. The fact that they are based upon individual-level hypothesis has received much less attention. Only very recently, scholars started to uncover some of these microfoundations of second-order election theory and confront them with micro-level empirical evidence. It is in this area that the current article aims at contributing some theoretical structure and empirical evidence." @default.
• W2474391327 created "2016-07-22" @default.
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• W2474391327 date "2009-01-01" @default.
• W2474391327 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W2474391327 title "Micro-Foundations of Second-order Election Theory: A Theoretical Reconstruction and Empirical Test." @default.
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