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- W2497718382 abstract "As the preceding chapters have indicated, even when the discussion of possible futures is limited thematically, the exploration of interaction effects with other key dimensions of change is inescapable. For example, pathways of demographic change are difficult to understand without reference to the policy context that influences how resources are allocated to specific priorities; the influence of emerging actors over African development prospects is hard to assess without knowing how other actors within and beyond Africa might respond to this engagement. This chapter seeks to draw together the possible trajectories presented in the individual treatments of drivers of change through the presentation of four generalised scenarios for Africa’s future. These scenarios thus serve a synthetic function in the present study, underlining the interaction of different forces in shaping the future and highlighting possible variations in outcomes suggested by the foregoing analysis. They are written in a similar retrospective form, from the standpoint of an observer describing developments over the previous two decades in the year 2030. As noted in Chapter 2, it is important to reiterate that these scenarios are not intended to represent deterministic pictures of what Africa’s future will look like. Rather, they are designed to offer a basis for reflection that researchers and policy makers may use to think about their own assumptions about how the continent’s future could evolve." @default.
- W2497718382 created "2016-08-23" @default.
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- W2497718382 date "2012-01-01" @default.
- W2497718382 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2497718382 title "Africa Toward 2030: Scenarios for the Future" @default.
- W2497718382 doi "https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230362154_10" @default.
- W2497718382 hasPublicationYear "2012" @default.
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