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- W2509253908 abstract "Introduction: In the last decade, the Metropolitan Region of Natal-RN has undergone substantial impacts of violence, especially from the increase in the number of homicides. Objective: This study aimed to analyse the temporal trends of homicidal violence in the Metropolitan Region of Natal-RN, between the years 2000 to 2010, as a methodological axis of the health situation analysis. Methods: An observational time series study on the trend of homicide deaths was held in the Metropolitan Region of Natal, RN, Brazil, using the linear regression method by generalized least squares (Prais-Winsten correction) and ordinal least squares. Moreover, the reasons for annual increment for each municipality in the metropolitan area were obtained. Finally, to assess the existence of autocorrelation, was performed the Durbin-Watson statistic with level of significance α=0,05. Results: There were 2,723 deaths from homicides in the Metropolitan Region of Natal. Homicides were most prevalent among men, mostly aged 20-39 years old (62.0%). There was an increasing linear trend in mortality rates in the municipalities of Natal, Macaiba, Sao Goncalo do Amarante, Monte Alegre and Ceara-Mirim. During the study period was increasing homicidal violence in the Metropolitan Region of Natal, where municipalities in the process of urbanization more intense, dynamic and integrated to the metropolitan pole had more significant increasing trend and the highest mortality rates from homicide, especially Natal and Sao Goncalo do Amarante. Conclusions: In this sense, is concluded that are necessary deployment and implementation of public security policies, social protection and education, to ensure the economic empowerment and community stability, considering the profile of the victims of homicidal violence in this territory." @default.
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- W2509253908 date "2015-01-01" @default.
- W2509253908 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W2509253908 title "TENDÊNCIA CRESCENTE DE VIOLÊNCIA HOMICIDA NA REGIÃO METROPOLITANA DE NATAL-RN, BRASIL Growing trend of homicidal violence in the Metropolitan Region of Natal-RN, Brazil" @default.
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