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- W251890601 abstract "ELECTION 2012 HAS already begun. In fact, it's in full gear. To no one's surprise, President Barack in early April formed his reelection committee, which will allow his campaign to begin raising money for what is expected to be the most expensive presidential campaign in American history. His reelection, though, is by no means a sure thing--thanks in large part to the state of the U.S. With the U.S. unemployment rate hovering around nine percent, the national average price of gas approaching four dollars per gallon, and the housing market nationwide continuing to fall, Republicans are preparing for a presidential election that they hope will be a referendum on President and his economic policies. A recent USA Today/Gallup poll should not give Obama for America (ofa) much comfort: Only 37 percent approve of the president's handling of the With that as a backdrop, eight Republicans have already declared their candidacies for the Republican nomination--sensing a real opportunity to make Barack a one-term president. White House, of course, has taken notice of the polls and the competition. And it has readily acknowledged that the electoral map that won the Oval Office in 2008 will be strikingly different in 2012. What follows is an evaluation of the Republican field for the nomination, who the White House fears most, and what will likely be the path to the presidency for the 2012 Republican nominee. candidates WITH A WAR chest that dwarfs his closest competitor, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is seen by the White House as the early front-runner for the nomination. Money matters for Republicans--particularly in this election cycle. the senator raised $750 million in 2008. With the power of the presidency, OFA is widely expected to meet or exceed that total in 2012. Romney's fundraising prowess was put on display in mid-May when he raised $10.25 million in Las Vegas in a single one-day call-a-thon. But it's not just Romney's network of wealthy donors that the White House fears. It's his ability to appeal to independents that won Romney the governorship in liberal Massachusetts. Since losing the Republican nomination to John McCain in 2008, Romney has never really stopped campaigning. From Iowa to New Hampshire to South Carolina and Florida--the states that vote first in the Republican nominating process--Romney has touted his business experience as a way to attack President and his handling of the U.S. attacks on (and Romney's high name identification) appear to be working. Romney now leads most polls of likely Republican voters. Even more impressive, he is the only Republican presidential candidate who leads President in a head-to-head match-up in some recent national polls. Romney is betting that the faltering U.S. economy--combined with his business and executive experience--are the perfect ingredients to secure him the Republican nomination and ultimately the White House. As his campaign spokesman told me, This election is about two things--jobs and the economy. Romney gave a preview of his campaign message in the first Republican debate in New Hampshire. Obama, he argued, didn't cause the economic recession. Instead, he said, his economic policies have prolonged it. Romney's message has found some resonance with voters. An nbc/Wall Street Journal poll released in mid-June found that 62 percent of those polled believe the country is moving in the wrong direction--a jump of twelve percent from a month earlier. Even the White House--both privately and publicly--acknowledges that the economy will likely be a focus of the 2012 presidential election. As David Axelrod, President Obama's senior adviser, put it on CNN's State of the Union: The fundamental issue is how do people feel? Do they feel like we're making progress? Do they feel like we're moving in the right direction? …" @default.
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- W251890601 date "2011-08-01" @default.
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- W251890601 title "The GOP's 2012 Field" @default.
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