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- W2527330503 abstract "This article proposes an estimation of the potential production with an output gap model in Lebanon by using several statistical methods like the method of the linear trend, the HodrickPrescott filter and the segmented trend. Insofar the GDP evolution in Lebanon is very erratic, the method of the segmented trend, which determines the break dates of GDP observed around its trend over the period 1970-2008, seems to be the most relevant to estimate the potential GDP in Lebanon. Also, this method establishes the output gap between the effective GDP and the potential GDP and confirms the positive relation between output gap (where the effective GDP is upper to the potential GDP) and inflationary pressures. Furthermore this article shows a structural stability of output gap model by the means of stability tests regarding the coefficients and the dynamics of estimation standard error." @default.
- W2527330503 created "2016-10-07" @default.
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- W2527330503 date "2009-01-01" @default.
- W2527330503 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W2527330503 title "UN ESSAI D'ESTIMATION DE LA PRODUCTION" @default.
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