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- W2556525075 abstract "The future trajectory of India and China, the two big countries in Asia, is difficult to predict, especially as these two have been 'simultaneously rising' in the last few decades and knocking at the gates of global and regional power structures. The cooperative and competitive elements in India-China relations are also combined with regional and global dynamics, resulting in a complex relationship whose future orientation is difficult to predict.Current StatusYet, some observations can be made in this regard given both the past several decades of diplomatic practice as well as the structural factors in India-China relations. Foremost among these is a mix of the current status of bilateral relations as well as the aspirations of the new leaders who assumed leadership in India and China only recently. That the political leaderships in China and India are stable and forthcoming is reflected in their long-term plans. President Xi Jinping not only acts as the General Secretary of the Communist Party, but also as the Chairman of the Military Commission and the Security Commission. Recently, he added another feather in his cap by becoming the Commanderin- Chief of the armed forces. His anti-corruption campaign and the One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiatives are galvanizing China. Likewise, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has ushered in a single party majority government for the first time in three decades in the influential lower house of Parliament and began with campaigns on Skill India, Smart Cities, as well as manufacturing and infrastructure projects. These suggest that the new leaders in India and China are digging in for the long-term, in which domestic imperative are understood as being important and that there is going to be stability as well as new initiatives in the external domain.Currently, both India and China have relatively stable borders although no solution is in sight in the dispute resolution, despite 19 rounds of Special Representative meetings in addition to the previous 15 joint working group meetings as well as eight border talks since 1981. The alternative that both countries have attempted is to 'manage' the borders with confidence building measures, a Border Defence Cooperation Agreement, among others - basically to reduce any accidental fallout of border incidents. This aspect could become a potentially competitive - or even conflict-triggering issue in bilateral relations in the near future. This has clearly been suggested by border incidents in the Depsang Plains during April-May 2013, September 2014, as well as September/ November 2015 at Chumar, all of which have been in the western sector.Since 2005, through the Special Representative mechanism, a series of bilateral arrangements have been initiated. At the multilateral level, India and China coordinate their approaches on a number of issues at the United Nations, BRICS, and Climate Change conferences among others - all suggesting a growing mutual understanding on critical global issues (although they differ on some issues, such as the global commons). These mechanisms have ushered in a broad based, predictable, and in-depth prospects in the bilateral relations, although they need not necessarily guarantee prevention of conflict or competition between the two in the future.The competitive or conflictual scenarios between India and China are based on the larger events across the regions, and influenced by the aspirational aspects of the new leaderships. China began the revival of the Continental and Maritime Silk Road initiative which some Chinese have suggested will be the basis of a 'new international order', and China's Marshal Plan towards Asia, Europe, and Africa. In addition to an estimated US$700-800 billion in investments, China has been gearing up for joint military operations abroad through its reformed forces since 2015. China's new initiatives are bound to crisscross those of other powers, including India, in the coming years. …" @default.
- W2556525075 created "2016-11-30" @default.
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- W2556525075 date "2016-01-01" @default.
- W2556525075 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W2556525075 title "India-China Relations: Need for Intensive Dialogue on Core Issues" @default.
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