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- W2566536997 abstract "Abstract A methodology for determining of ecological conditions in forest ecosystems in order to as-sess their future variations under expected climate change has been developed. Complex index for ecological conditions ( K ec ) was established including hydrothermal (precipitations, tempera-ture and duration of drought period in the region), soil (depth and erosion) and relief (exposure and inclination of slope) parameters. The expected changes of climatic elements were assessed based on data from climatic scenarios. Model verification was performed for Sedelska River ba-sin, a tributary of Struma River, South-western Bulgaria. Distribution and division into 5 groups of main tree species within the watershed area was performed in accordance to the values of К ес . Distribution of forest ecosystems in groups according to expected ecological conditions for the period of 2021–2049 and 2071–2099 was established and their spatial distribution for Sedelska River basin was mapped. It was established that nowadays about 30 % of stands and forest plan-tations are in the first group – under ’bad‘ ecological conditions. Theresults showed that for the period 2021–2049 the area of these forests will increase and will reach 36.9 %, and for the period 2071–2099 more than the half of these forest ecosystems (51.2 %) will be under ’bad‘ ecological conditions." @default.
- W2566536997 created "2017-01-06" @default.
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- W2566536997 date "2014-01-01" @default.
- W2566536997 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W2566536997 title "METHODOLOGY FOR ASSESSING OF ECOLOGICAL CONDITIONS IN FOREST ECOSYSTEMS UNDER CLIMATE CHANGES" @default.
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