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- W2595000369 abstract "Paper demonstrates that sudden stop of foreign capital inflow, due to the world financial crisis, has caused sharp monetary contraction and consequently drop in output in Serbia. Fiscal and monetary policy responses were uncoordinated, where the former looking backward to pre election promises sharply increased public expenditure in October 2008. i.e. just when the crisis erupted. Thus an unplanned answer was expansionary fiscal and restrictive monetary policy, while the opposite would seem more appropriate. The fiscal expansion will spill-over in 2009, as lower than expected public revenues will at least double budgeted fiscal deficit (1.75% of GDP). The latter will make harder monetary easing in 2009. Central bank has defended dinar at the higher level and for the longer period than necessary, and should finally allow dinar to drop swiftly to its medium term sustainable level, as foreign exchange reserves have fallen to dangerously low level and could invoke speculative attack on dinar. Moreover, after years of overvalued dinar and enormous unsustainable current account deficit, there is now opportunity to set real exchange rate at the level that would strongly support neglected tradable sector in Serbia." @default.
- W2595000369 created "2017-03-23" @default.
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- W2595000369 date "2009-01-01" @default.
- W2595000369 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W2595000369 title "Efekat svetske finansijske krize na Srbiju i odgovor ekonomske politike" @default.
- W2595000369 hasPublicationYear "2009" @default.
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