Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2595836504> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 55 of
55
with 100 items per page.
- W2595836504 abstract "The article examines the main factors influencing the pricing in the petroleum industry; the importance of effective forecasting for oil-producing countries is shown. In order to conduct an econometric research of the time series of oil prices calculated on the basis of the basket of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, the periodic dependence of the considered data by years with the help of the autocorrelation function showing the dependence of the current year oil price from previous years prices is defined. The analytical function usage enabled to model the dynamics of the studied time series. Proceeding from the results obtained, it is concluded that short periods are required to be applied for providing a more reliable forecast by means of constructing an autoregressive-moving-average model (ARMA-model). The reliability of the model is checked by comparing the available data obtained on the basis of these observations allowing establishing the adequacy of the use of the ARMA-model (1.1) for economic forecasting. The results of the obtained forecast for 2015-2019 years denote recovery trends on the world oil market and the gradual return of hydrocarbon prices to the level of 2011-2013 years." @default.
- W2595836504 created "2017-03-23" @default.
- W2595836504 creator A5023771390 @default.
- W2595836504 date "2015-01-01" @default.
- W2595836504 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W2595836504 title "Эконометрическое моделирование динамического временного ряда цены на нефть" @default.
- W2595836504 cites W1576331993 @default.
- W2595836504 cites W569198213 @default.
- W2595836504 hasPublicationYear "2015" @default.
- W2595836504 type Work @default.
- W2595836504 sameAs 2595836504 @default.
- W2595836504 citedByCount "0" @default.
- W2595836504 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2595836504 hasAuthorship W2595836504A5023771390 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C10138342 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C143724316 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C151406439 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C151730666 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C159877910 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C175706884 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C180075932 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C182306322 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C5297727 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C548895740 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConcept C74883015 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C10138342 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C105795698 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C127313418 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C143724316 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C149782125 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C151406439 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C151730666 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C159877910 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C162324750 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C175706884 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C180075932 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C182306322 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C33923547 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C5297727 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C548895740 @default.
- W2595836504 hasConceptScore W2595836504C74883015 @default.
- W2595836504 hasIssue "6" @default.
- W2595836504 hasLocation W25958365041 @default.
- W2595836504 hasOpenAccess W2595836504 @default.
- W2595836504 hasPrimaryLocation W25958365041 @default.
- W2595836504 hasVolume "25" @default.
- W2595836504 isParatext "false" @default.
- W2595836504 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W2595836504 magId "2595836504" @default.
- W2595836504 workType "article" @default.